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John Keith Hart's avatar

We are living in the first global debt crisis; government, corporate and private debt are everywhere huge. If the markets collapse, debt will be liquidated and whole societies, not just individuals, will suffer. The result will be a greater depression than the 1930s. This is because the credit boom since 1980 was built on paper money, not growth of the real economy, and had to implode some time. What Trump has done is to make that more likely now. There is still a lot of capital concentrated in a few hands that may delay the collapse. But the plutocrats who grew rich from the fake credit boom will lose most and the situation of the world's poor may be improved by inevitable political upheavals. The Stalinists called this The Law of Uneven Development.

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Benedicte Brøgger's avatar

A brilliant analysis of the current crisis, as were your analyses of the 2008 meltdown! Polanyi discusses «the enclosure» forcing English peasants off the commons in the 1500s. Their descendant became the floating, desperately poor population, the proletariat, needed for the industrialisation in north England in the 1700s. In 2025, the enormous private savings in hegde/pension funds can be seen as a «commons» in the financialized global capitalist system today. If their value collapse as the result of the current changes in the US economic policy, millions will be left propertyless. Your thoughts on this prospect in Polanyian terms?

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